胆囊切开取石术与胆囊切除术远期循证证据的模拟目标试验及个性化决策支持AI大模型研究

注册号:

Registration number:

ChiCTR2600121406 

最近更新日期:

Date of Last Refreshed on:

2026-03-30 16:51:25 

注册时间:

Date of Registration:

2026-03-30 00:00:00 

注册号状态:

预注册

Registration Status:

Prospective registration

注册题目:

胆囊切开取石术与胆囊切除术远期循证证据的模拟目标试验及个性化决策支持AI大模型研究

Public title:

Target Trial Emulation and AI-based Personalized Decision Support Model for Evaluating Long-term Evidence of Choledochoscopic Gallbladder-Preserving Surgery vs. Laparoscopic Cholecystectomy

注册题目简写:

English Acronym:

研究课题的正式科学名称:

胆囊切开取石术与胆囊切除术远期循证证据的模拟目标试验及个性化决策支持AI大模型研究

Scientific title:

Target Trial Emulation and AI-based Personalized Decision Support Model for Evaluating Long-term Evidence of Choledochoscopic Gallbladder-Preserving Surgery vs. Laparoscopic Cholecystectomy

研究课题代号(代码):

Study subject ID:

在二级注册机构或其它机构的注册号:

The registration number of the Partner Registry or other register:

申请注册联系人:

任广利 

研究负责人:

张锎 

Applicant:

Guangli Ren 

Study leader:

Kai Zhang 

申请注册联系人电话:

Applicant telephone:

+86 531 81656776

研究负责人电话:

Study leader's
telephone:

+86 531 81656400

申请注册联系人传真 :

Applicant Fax:

研究负责人传真:

Study leader's fax:

申请注册联系人电子邮件:

Applicant E-mail:

wanderi163@yeah.net

研究负责人电子邮件:

Study leader's E-mail:

zhangkai.2159@163.com

申请单位网址(自愿提供):

Applicant website(voluntary supply):

研究负责人网址(自愿提供):

Study leader's website(voluntary supply):

申请注册联系人通讯地址:

山东省济南市天桥区无影山中路19-2号

研究负责人通讯地址:

山东省济南市天桥区无影山中路19-2号

Applicant address:

No. 19-2, Wuyingshan Middle Road, Tianqiao District, Jinan City, Shandong Province

Study leader's address:

No. 19-2, Wuyingshan Middle Road, Tianqiao District, Jinan City, Shandong Province

申请注册联系人邮政编码:

Applicant postcode:

研究负责人邮政编码:

Study leader's postcode:

申请人所在单位:

山东省立第三医院

Applicant's institution:

Shandong Provincial Third Hospital

研究负责人所在单位:

山东省立第三医院

Affiliation of the Leader:

Shandong Provincial Third Hospital

是否获伦理委员会批准:

Approved by ethic committee:

Yes

伦理委员会批件文号:

Approved No. of ethic committee:

KYLL-2025146

伦理委员会批件附件:

Approved file of Ethical Committee:

查看附件View

批准本研究的伦理委员会名称:

山东省立第三医院医学伦理委员会

Name of the ethic committee:

Ethics Committee of Shandong Provincial Third Hospital

伦理委员会批准日期:

Date of approved by ethic committee:

2025-07-31 00:00:00

伦理委员会联系人:

徐林

Contact Name of the ethic committee:

Lin Xu

伦理委员会联系地址:

山东省济南市天桥区无影山中路19-2号

Contact Address of the ethic committee:

No. 19-2, Wuyingshan Middle Road, Tianqiao District, Jinan City, Shandong Province

伦理委员会联系人电话:

Contact phone of the ethic committee:

+86 531 81656632

伦理委员会联系人邮箱:

Contact email of the ethic committee:

13105312609@163.com

研究实施负责(组长)单位:

山东省立第三医院

Primary sponsor:

Shandong Provincial Third Hospital

研究实施负责(组长)单位地址:

山东省济南市天桥区无影山中路19-2号

Primary sponsor's address:

No. 19-2, Wuyingshan Middle Road, Tianqiao District, Jinan City, Shandong Province

试验主办单位(项目批准或申办者):

Secondary sponsor:

国家:

中国

省(直辖市):

山东省

市(区县):

Country:

China

Province:

Shandong

City:

单位(医院):

山东省立第三医院

具体地址:

山东省济南市天桥区无影山中路19-2号

Institution
hospital:

Shandong Provincial Third Hospital

Address:

No. 19-2, Wuyingshan Middle Road, Tianqiao District, Jinan City, Shandong Province

经费或物资来源:

自选课题(自筹)

Source(s) of funding:

Elective Course (Self-Funded)

研究疾病:

胆囊结石  

Target disease:

Gallstone

研究疾病代码:

Target disease code:

研究类型:

观察性研究

Study type:

Observational study

研究所处阶段:

其它 

Study phase:

N/A

研究设计:

连续入组 

Study design:

Sequential 

研究目的:

本研究旨在依托齐鲁全生命周期电子健康研究型数据库(Cheeloo Lifespan Electronic Health Research Data-library, Cheeloo LEAD)以及27家多中心胆囊结石患者数据,构建大规模胆囊结石手术双向队列,并进一步建立齐鲁胆囊结石手术全生命周期结局数据库(Cheeloo Gallstone Operative Lifespan-outcome Database, Cheeloo GOLD)。研究旨在解决胆囊结石术式选择中的国际性临床争议——即胆囊切除术(LC)远期风险证据不足与胆囊切开取石术(CGPS)术后高复发率的问题,提供创新的解决方案。本研究首次采用模拟目标试验(TTE)技术精准控制混杂偏倚,获取两种术式对胆结石复发、代谢紊乱及恶性肿瘤等结局的高级别循证证据;结合动物实验解析“胆-肠-脑轴”生物学机制,并创新融合因果推断模型与AI大模型技术,构建胆囊手术个性化决策支持智能系统。最终实现“数据-证据-机制-模型”闭环,为国际指南更新提供科学依据,推动胆囊结石的精准治疗。  

Objectives of Study:

This study aims to create a large-scale sub-cohort of gallstone surgery patients using data from the Cheeloo LEAD database and the multi-center clinical data of gallstone patients from 27 medical institutions, and to further establish the Cheeloo Gallstone Operative Lifespan-Outcome Database (Cheeloo GOLD) and address the international clinical debate on gallstone surgery, focusing on laparoscopic cholecystectomy (LC) and cholecystolithotomy with gallbladder preservation surgery (CGPS). The study will employ Target Trial Emulation (TTE) techniques to control confounding biases and provide high-grade evidence on long-term outcomes, including stone recurrence, metabolic disorders, and malignancies. Animal experiments will explore the biliary-intestinal-brain axis. Additionally, causal inference and AI modelling will develop a personalized decision support system for gallbladder surgery, ultimately informing clinical guidelines and advancing precision medicine for gallbladder stone disease.

药物成份或治疗方案详述:

 

Description for medicine or protocol of treatment in detail:

 

纳入标准:

Inclusion criteria

排除标准:

1. 合并胆道相关疾病,包括胆囊结构性疾病、复杂胆道结构性疾病、肝胆管结石、严重胆囊炎、严重胆管炎; 2. 存在胆囊相关手术史:胆囊部分切除史、既往胆囊相关手术史; 3. 重症胰腺炎; 4. 存在恶性肿瘤病史; 5. 存在活动性结核传染病; 6. 合并重要脏器功能不全:严重心功能不全、严重肺功能不全、严重肝功能不全、严重肾功能不全; 7. 合并其他严重疾病:包括严重免疫性疾病、严重凝血功能障碍、严重心功能不全、严重肾功能不全、严重肺功能不全、严重肝功能不全; 8. 存在腹部重大手术史,包肠切除相关手术、胰切除相关手术、胃切除相关手术、脾切除相关手术、膀胱根治性切除/重建术、肝切除相关手术、子宫根治性切除/盆腔廓清术史;

Exclusion criteria:

1. Combined biliary-related diseases, including structural diseases of the gallbladder, complex structural diseases of the bile ducts, hepatobiliary stones, severe cholecystitis, severe cholangitis; 2. History of gallbladder-related surgery: partial cholecystectomy history, previous gallbladder-related surgical history; 3. Severe pancreatitis; 4. History of malignant tumors; 5. Active tuberculosis infection; 6. Combined major organ dysfunction: severe heart dysfunction, severe lung dysfunction, severe liver dysfunction, severe kidney dysfunction; 7. Combined with other severe diseases: including severe immune diseases, severe coagulation disorders, severe heart dysfunction, severe kidney dysfunction, severe lung dysfunction, severe liver dysfunction; 8. History of major abdominal surgery, including bowel resection-related surgery, pancreatic resection-related surgery, stomach resection-related surgery, splenectomy-related surgery, radical bladder resection/reconstruction, liver resection-related surgery, radical hysterectomy/pelvic clearance history;

研究实施时间:

Study execute time:

From 2026-04-01 00:00:00 To 2031-12-31 00:00:00  

征募观察对象时间:

Recruiting time:

From 2026-04-01 00:00:00 To 2031-12-31 00:00:00

干预措施:

Interventions:

组别:

胆囊切开取石术组

样本量:

15000

Group:

Cholecystotomy and Stone Removal Group

Sample size:

干预措施:

干预措施代码:

Intervention:

None

Intervention code:

组别:

胆囊切除组

样本量:

250000

Group:

Cholecystectomy group

Sample size:

干预措施:

干预措施代码:

Intervention:

None

Intervention code:

研究实施地点:

Countries of recruitment and research settings:

国家:

中国

省(直辖市):

山东省 

市(区县):

 

Country:

China

Province:

Shandong

City:

单位(医院):

山东省立第三医院 

单位级别:

三级甲等 

Institution
hospital:

Shandong Provincial Third Hospital

Level of the institution:

Tertiary A

国家:

中国

省(直辖市):

山东省 

市(区县):

 

Country:

China

Province:

Shandong

City:

单位(医院):

滨州市中心医院 

单位级别:

三级甲等 

Institution
hospital:

Binzhou Center Hospital

Level of the institution:

Tertiary A

国家:

中国

省(直辖市):

山东省 

市(区县):

 

Country:

China

Province:

Shandong

City:

单位(医院):

临沂市人民医院 

单位级别:

三级甲等 

Institution
hospital:

Linyi People's Hospital

Level of the institution:

Tertiary A

国家:

中国

省(直辖市):

山东省 

市(区县):

 

Country:

China

Province:

Shandong

City:

单位(医院):

济宁市第一人民医院 

单位级别:

三级甲等 

Institution
hospital:

Jining First People's Hospital

Level of the institution:

Tertiary A

国家:

中国

省(直辖市):

山东省 

市(区县):

 

Country:

China

Province:

Shandong

City:

单位(医院):

新泰市人民医院 

单位级别:

三级乙等 

Institution
hospital:

Xintai People's Hospital

Level of the institution:

Tertiary B

国家:

中国

省(直辖市):

山东省 

市(区县):

 

Country:

China

Province:

Shandong

City:

单位(医院):

山东大学齐鲁医院德州医院(德州市人民医院) 

单位级别:

三级甲等 

Institution
hospital:

Shandong University Qilu Hospital Dezhou Hospital (Dezhou People's Hospital)

Level of the institution:

Tertiary A

国家:

中国

省(直辖市):

山东省 

市(区县):

 

Country:

China

Province:

Shandong

City:

单位(医院):

烟台市烟台山医院 

单位级别:

三级甲等 

Institution
hospital:

Yantai Yantaishan Hospital

Level of the institution:

Tertiary A

国家:

中国

省(直辖市):

山东省 

市(区县):

 

Country:

China

Province:

Shandong

City:

单位(医院):

桓台县妇幼保健院 

单位级别:

三级乙等 

Institution
hospital:

Huantai County Maternal and Child Health Hospital

Level of the institution:

Tertiary B

国家:

中国

省(直辖市):

山东省 

市(区县):

 

Country:

China

Province:

Shandong

City:

单位(医院):

临沂市中心医院 

单位级别:

三级甲等 

Institution
hospital:

Linyi Central Hospital

Level of the institution:

Tertiary A

国家:

中国

省(直辖市):

山东省 

市(区县):

 

Country:

China

Province:

Shandong

City:

单位(医院):

潍坊市人民医院 

单位级别:

三级甲等 

Institution
hospital:

Weifang People's Hospital

Level of the institution:

Tertiary A

国家:

中国

省(直辖市):

山东省 

市(区县):

 

Country:

China

Province:

Shandong

City:

单位(医院):

淄博市第一医院 

单位级别:

三级甲等 

Institution
hospital:

ZiBo First Hospital

Level of the institution:

Tertiary A

国家:

中国

省(直辖市):

山东省 

市(区县):

 

Country:

China

Province:

Shandong

City:

单位(医院):

山东第一医科大学附属省立医院 

单位级别:

三级甲等 

Institution
hospital:

Shandong Provincial Hospital Affiliated to Shandong First Medical University

Level of the institution:

Tertiary A

国家:

中国

省(直辖市):

山东省 

市(区县):

 

Country:

China

Province:

Shandong

City:

单位(医院):

菏泽市立医院 

单位级别:

三级甲等 

Institution
hospital:

Heze Municipal Hospital

Level of the institution:

Tertiary A

国家:

中国

省(直辖市):

山东省 

市(区县):

 

Country:

China

Province:

Shandong

City:

单位(医院):

聊城市人民医院 

单位级别:

三级甲等 

Institution
hospital:

Liaocheng People's Hospital

Level of the institution:

Tertiary A

国家:

中国

省(直辖市):

山东省 

市(区县):

 

Country:

China

Province:

Shandong

City:

单位(医院):

青岛市市立医院 

单位级别:

三级甲等 

Institution
hospital:

Qingdao municipal hospital

Level of the institution:

Tertiary A

国家:

中国

省(直辖市):

山东省 

市(区县):

 

Country:

China

Province:

Shandong

City:

单位(医院):

山东第一医科大学附属中心医院 

单位级别:

三级甲等 

Institution
hospital:

Central Hospital Affiliated to Shandong First Medical University

Level of the institution:

Tertiary A

国家:

中国

省(直辖市):

山东省 

市(区县):

 

Country:

China

Province:

Shandong

City:

单位(医院):

东营市人民医院 

单位级别:

三级甲等 

Institution
hospital:

Dongying People's Hospital

Level of the institution:

Tertiary A

国家:

中国

省(直辖市):

山东省 

市(区县):

 

Country:

China

Province:

Shandong

City:

单位(医院):

聊城市第二人民医院 

单位级别:

三级甲等 

Institution
hospital:

Central Hospital Affiliated to Shandong First Medical University

Level of the institution:

Tertiary A

国家:

中国

省(直辖市):

山东省 

市(区县):

 

Country:

China

Province:

Shandong

City:

单位(医院):

泰安市中心医院 

单位级别:

三级甲等 

Institution
hospital:

The Affiliated Taian City Central Hospital of Qingdao University

Level of the institution:

Tertiary A

国家:

中国

省(直辖市):

山东省 

市(区县):

 

Country:

China

Province:

Shandong

City:

单位(医院):

山东第一医科大学第二附属医院 

单位级别:

三级甲等 

Institution
hospital:

The Second Affiliated Hospital of Shandong First Medical University

Level of the institution:

Tertiary A

国家:

中国

省(直辖市):

山东省 

市(区县):

 

Country:

China

Province:

Shandong

City:

单位(医院):

山东第二医科大学附属医院 

单位级别:

三级甲等 

Institution
hospital:

Affiliated Hospital of Shandong Second Medical University

Level of the institution:

Tertiary A

国家:

中国

省(直辖市):

山东省 

市(区县):

 

Country:

China

Province:

Shandong

City:

单位(医院):

济南市人民医院 

单位级别:

三级甲等 

Institution
hospital:

Jinan People's Hospital

Level of the institution:

Tertiary A

国家:

中国

省(直辖市):

山东省 

市(区县):

 

Country:

China

Province:

Shandong

City:

单位(医院):

滨州市人民医院 

单位级别:

三级甲等 

Institution
hospital:

Binzhou People's Hospital

Level of the institution:

Tertiary A

国家:

中国

省(直辖市):

山东省 

市(区县):

 

Country:

China

Province:

Shandong

City:

单位(医院):

山东大学齐鲁医院 

单位级别:

三级甲等 

Institution
hospital:

Qilu Hospital of Shandong University

Level of the institution:

Tertiary A

国家:

中国

省(直辖市):

山东省 

市(区县):

 

Country:

China

Province:

Shandong

City:

单位(医院):

青岛市第三人民医院 

单位级别:

三级乙等 

Institution
hospital:

The Third People's Hospital of Qingdao?

Level of the institution:

Tertiary B

国家:

中国

省(直辖市):

山东省 

市(区县):

 

Country:

China

Province:

Shandong

City:

单位(医院):

烟台毓璜顶医院 

单位级别:

三级甲等 

Institution
hospital:

Yantai Yuhuangding Hospital

Level of the institution:

Tertiary A

国家:

中国

省(直辖市):

山东省 

市(区县):

 

Country:

China

Province:

Shandong

City:

单位(医院):

山东第一医科大学第一附属医院 

单位级别:

三级甲等 

Institution
hospital:

The First Affiliated Hospital of Shandong First Medical University

Level of the institution:

Tertiary A

测量指标:

Outcomes:

指标中文名:

术后生活质量

指标类型:

次要指标

Outcome:

Postoperative quality of life

Type:

Secondary indicator

测量时间点:

术后1、3、6月、1年

测量方法:

Measure time point of outcome:

Postoperative 1, 3, 6 months and 1 year

Measure method:

指标中文名:

胆囊及胆道相关并发症

指标类型:

次要指标

Outcome:

Complications related to gallbladder and biliary tract

Type:

Secondary indicator

测量时间点:

术后0、3、6月、1年

测量方法:

Measure time point of outcome:

Postoperative 0, 3, 6 months and 1 year

Measure method:

指标中文名:

肿瘤发生率

指标类型:

主要指标

Outcome:

Tumor incidence

Type:

Primary indicator

测量时间点:

术后每年

测量方法:

Measure time point of outcome:

Every year after surgery

Measure method:

指标中文名:

胆囊结石复发率

指标类型:

主要指标

Outcome:

Recurrence rate of gallstones

Type:

Primary indicator

测量时间点:

术后每年

测量方法:

Measure time point of outcome:

Every year after surgery

Measure method:

指标中文名:

代谢综合征发生率

指标类型:

主要指标

Outcome:

Incidence of metabolic syndrome

Type:

Primary indicator

测量时间点:

术后每年

测量方法:

Measure time point of outcome:

Every year after surgery

Measure method:

采集人体标本:

Collecting sample(s)
from participants:

标本中文名:

胆囊结石

组织:

Sample Name:

Gallstone

Tissue:

人体标本去向

使用后销毁  

说明

Fate of sample:

Destruction after use  

Note:

标本中文名:

粪便

组织:

Sample Name:

feces

Tissue:

人体标本去向

使用后销毁  

说明

Fate of sample:

Destruction after use  

Note:

标本中文名:

血液

组织:

Sample Name:

blood

Tissue:

人体标本去向

使用后销毁  

说明

Fate of sample:

Destruction after use  

Note:

标本中文名:

胆囊组织

组织:

Sample Name:

Gallbladder tissue

Tissue:

人体标本去向

使用后销毁  

说明

Fate of sample:

Destruction after use  

Note:

标本中文名:

胆汁

组织:

Sample Name:

bile

Tissue:

人体标本去向

使用后销毁  

说明

Fate of sample:

Destruction after use  

Note:

标本中文名:

尿液

组织:

Sample Name:

urine

Tissue:

人体标本去向

使用后销毁  

说明

Fate of sample:

Destruction after use  

Note:

征募研究对象情况:

Recruiting status:

尚未开始

Not yet recruiting

年龄范围:

Participant age:

最小 Min age 18 years
最大 Max age 80 years

性别:

男女均可

Gender:

Both

随机方法(请说明由何人用什么方法产生随机序列):

Randomization Procedure (please state who generates the random number sequence and by what method):

None

是否公开试验完成后的统计结果:

Calculated Results after the Study Completed public access:

不公开/Private

盲法:

Blinding:

None

是否共享原始数据:

IPD sharing

否No

共享原始数据的方式(说明:请填入公开原始数据日期和方式,如采用网络平台,需填该网络平台名称和网址):

The way of sharing IPD”(include metadata and protocol, If use web-based public database, please provide the url):

None

数据采集和管理(说明:数据采集和管理由两部分组成,一为病例记录表(Case Record Form, CRF),二为电子采集和管理系统(Electronic Data Capture, EDC),如ResMan即为一种基于互联网的EDC:

病例记录表

Data collection and Management (A standard data collection and management system include a CRF and an electronic data capture:

Case Record Form

数据与安全监察委员会:

Data and Safety Monitoring Committee:

有/Yes

注册人:

Name of Registration:

 2026-03-30 16:51:15